Black Pill Betting thread

[the mole]

I figure this should be a good place to consolidate what we as a collectively feel are good bets in upcoming markets, whether that be stocks, crypto, and obviously sports.

Feel free to share your genius here

My genius will obviously outshine everyone here and should be taken the most seriously, but if you feel like bragging about something you see go ahead

 

[the mole]

I'm obviously taking advantage of madden simulations on 5dimes which have much smaller spreads than another sportsbook I use

The play for tomorrow is -3.5 chiefs over eagles

Mybookie had this identical matchup at -6.5 to open yesterday and the chiefs won by 6

By the time you are reading this it's likely the spread has already moved

 

[Mustang]

That's just arbitrage

 

[the mole]

That's just arbitrage

It's more than arbitrage, these are entirely different games

It's also having in depth knowledge of the game to know how -3.5 is a good deal, based on watching past performances

 

[Mustang]

It's more than arbitrage, these are entirely different games

It's also having in depth knowledge of the game to know how -3.5 is a good deal, based on watching past performances

Yeah but... you dont actually know anything about sports then. Insiders bet on injuries and player info.

 

[the mole]

Yeah but... you dont actually know anything about sports then. Insiders bet on injuries and player info.

But I understand the simulation pretty well that's why I'm positive almost 200 percent in 9 days

I didnt claim to know everything about sports, I know some things about sports

 

[the mole]

This is obviously far more profitable than betting on real sports which is why I'm focusing on it now

 

[Mustang]

But I understand the simulation pretty well that's why I'm positive almost 200 percent in 9 days

I didnt claim to know everything about sports, I know some things about sports

Thar makes a lot more sense I thought you were betting on real sports. Those are all insider information.

Fantasy sports are not really big enough to matter though you'll eventually hit a dead end

 

[the mole]

Thar makes a lot more sense I thought you were betting on real sports. Those are all insider information.

Fantasy sports are not really big enough to matter though you'll eventually hit a dead end

This is more profitable potentially in my opinion

As I'm not only taking advantage of arbitrage like you said

But it has fixed values at play

 

[Mustang]

This is more profitable potentially in my opinion

As I'm not only taking advantage of arbitrage like you said

But it has fixed values at play

If theres only 10000$ being bet and you get 1% of that half the time it's not livable

 

[the mole]

If theres only 10000$ being bet and you get 1% of that half the time it's not livable

The odds are -115 for the chiefs to win by 3.5

And I could potentially bet 1000 on it as far as I'm aware, I dont know the absolute limit and that's a high percentage bet

So I'm failing to understand what you're implying

Is that not enough profit for an hour and a half

 

[Mustang]

The odds are -115 for the chiefs to win by 3.5

And I could potentially bet 1000 on it as far as I'm aware, I dont know the absolute limit and that's a high percentage bet

So I'm failing to understand what you're implying

Is that not enough profit for an hour and a half

You cant do that all day and with losses you're making like $100 a day

 

[the mole]

I'm a rotting neet with no expenses

I've made 47 dollars into 127 dollars in 8 days, if the sims are still here my bets are going to get bigger and bigger

 

[the mole]

You cant do that all day and with losses you're making like $100 a day

They're high percentage bets, I'm up 200 percent from 9 days ago on 5 dollar bets, now imagine that with 500 dollar bets

 

[Mustang]

They're high percentage bets, I'm up 200 percent from 9 days ago, now imagine that with 500 dollar bets

It would just stay at 500. Youd make $100 a day and live in poverty

 

[the mole]

Some of the bets are literal steals

The spread for the seahawks to beat Carolina were -4.5, and they won by 30

 

[the mole]

It would just stay at 500. Youd make $100 a day and live in poverty

I made 25 dollars today on 5 dollar bets only one of my bets missed out of 6

 

[Mustang]

I made 25 dollars today on 5 dollar bets only one of my bets missed out of 6

Yeah you're not going to be rich off that.

 

[the mole]

I'm net positive at least 5 dollars every day

Which assuming 500 dollar bets is being up 500 dollars

Do you make 500 dollars a day, how about 2500

 

[Mustang]

I'm net positive at least 5 dollars every day

Which assuming 500 dollar bets is being up 500 dollars

Do you make 500 dollars a day, how about 2500

I'm not saying it's a bad idea just that its limited. How big can it get?